Thursday Morning Coffee
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In what may be one of the lamest ledes ever, the New York Times announces "Caution: Heavy Internet traffic ahead. Delays possible." Best get your Morning Coffee while you can.

Starting 5

>>Tibet/India - The 100 Tibetan exiles who had disobeyed a directive by Indian police to cease their protest march from the Kangra district in India to their native country have now been detained by the Indian authorities. The protestors have since launched a hunger strike. Meanwhile, Chinese police fired tear gas into a crowd of 600 protesting monks in Tibet.

>>Cuba - Five Cuban soccer players, in the U.S. for Olympic regional qualifiers, went missing in Tampa on Tuesday night. Their disappearance has not been reported to the authorities, and they would likely be granted political asylum under the "wet foot, dry foot" policy were they to seek it.

>>Israel/Palestine - An Israeli raid in the West Bank that ended in the death of four Palestinian militants has further imperiled a ceasefire sought by Egypt.  The raid occurred just hours after Hamas declared the cessation of Israeli "agression" a necessary precondition to such a ceasefire. The four killed had been wanted by Israeli authorities for years. As an "initial response" Islamic Jihad fired rockets toward Israel from Gaza. Israel then retaliated with air strikes.

>>Pakistan - One of the two corruption charges that bar Benazir Bhutto's widow Asif Ali Zardari from holding public office was dropped yesterday. Dismissing the charge was part of a power-sharing deal worked out with Bhutto in October. The final case will be ruled on Friday. Zardari did not run for a seat in the February 18 election, in which his party won the most seats, but could still try to win a spot in a by-election and become Prime Minister, assuming the other charge is dropped. Meanwhile, Musharraf has dangled a deal to give up his powers to dissolve parliament in exchange for opposition parties agreeing not to reinstate former supreme court chief justice Iftikhar Mohammad Chaudhry.

>>Chad - The government of Chad has announced that heavily armed rebels are entering the country from Sudan. The two nations are set to sign a non-agression pact in Dakar in just a few hours prior to the opening of the OIC summit. Chadian and Darfuri rebels have dismissed the pact as meaningless.

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    October 10, 2008


    A U.S.-UN History Lesson in Georgia
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    (The following was originally written in August 2008.)

    Commentators looking to explain the recent Russo-Georgian conflict by analyzing American foreign policy have found no dearth of candidate provocations. America's support for Georgian membership in NATO, its recognition of Kosovo's independence, and its open planning to install missile defense programs in Eastern Europe all likely contributed to Russia's willingness to exert its influence in the region by force. By and large, however, these speculations have focused on the proximate causes of the past few months. The most significant American contribution to instability in Georgia, however, may actually have occurred some 15 years ago--and its story provides more resounding lessons for U.S.-UN policy than it does for U.S.-Russia relations.

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