Will Kony Sign?
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joseph-kony.jpgContinuing the saga of the seemingly perpetually impending peace deal between the Ugandan government and notorious rebel leader Joseph Kony, it appears that Kony is finally going to emerge from the bush to sign a deal tomorrow. Last week, Kony claimed a variety of reasons -- including a lack of toilets -- for delaying his appearance at the remote outpost on the Congo-Sudan border for the signing ceremony. Whether he shows tomorrow or not, one very important question remains unanswered: will the peace last? Reuters hits the nail on the head:
The LRA chief's final intentions remain far from clear.

No outsiders have seen him in months, and even if he breaks cover to sign the final agreement, his fighters have refused to lay down their arms until the ICC warrants are scrapped.

Uganda's government has said it will ask for the indictments to be lifted only after a final deal is reached. It was not clear whether that meant the rebels had to disarm first too.

Disarmament, of course, is always easier said that done, yet it remains the crux of any responsible peace plan. Justice and accountability are important attendant issues as well, as both we and Opinio Juris have emphasized, but the key -- in the immediate term, at least -- is a cessation of violence. Kony and the LRA seem committed enough to combating their ICC indictments -- even acquiring visas to lobby the UN in New York -- to engage in the peace process, but this is a rather tenuous -- not to mention somewhat ironic -- basis for a robust and long-standing accord.

For now, we're waiting for Kony.

Posted by John Boonstra at 4:45 PM | Comments (0) | Africa

Khalilzad to Resign?
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This is sort of bizarre. According to the Associated Press US-UN Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad, speaking in the Dari language, told Afghanistan's Ariana Television network that he was planning on resigning. When the AP translated these remarks and out them to Khalilzad's spokesman, the spokesman said that the Ambassador "has no immediate plans to resign." Which is it?

Posted by Mark Leon Goldberg at 12:46 PM | Comments (1) | UN News

No, YOU'RE Indicted!
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abdel-mahmood mohamed.jpgWhat do you do if two of your countrymen -- including one high-ranking minister -- have been indicted for war crimes by the Chief Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court? Well, if you are the Sudanese Ambassador to the UN, you indict the Chief Prosecutor right back.

In a gesture that cannot help but be compared to the childhood retort of "I know you are, but what am I?" Abdel-Mahmood Mohamad has called for Luis Moreno-Ocampo, the man leading the nearly yearlong crusade to bring some of the perpetrators of the Darfur genocide to justice, to "be tried in court," branding him "politically bankrupt" and "enemy number one of peace in Darfur."

moreno-ocampo.jpgThe absurd contention that Moreno-Ocampo is obstructing peace in Darfur naturally turns the problem exactly on its head. Mohamed, perhaps taking a page out of Joseph Kony's book, is appealing to the (misplaced) notion that, if the ICC prosecutions in Sudan were dropped, the Sudanese government would offer greater compliance. Mohamed's bluster is simply the latest -- and probably bluntest -- example of Sudan's hard-headed obstruction of the ICC's work in Darfur.


Darfur is not Northern Uganda, where an actual peace accord will, it seems, finally be signed in the next couple of days. The ICC's work in Darfur, then, must now be used as a stick to enforce compliance -- as well as, of course, to ensure justice and accountability. With such outright defiance of the UN, Sudan's leaders cannot simply claim, at this stage in the conflict, that the pursuit of justice is in any way undermining their none-too-credible support for peace.

Posted by John Boonstra at 10:03 AM | Comments (0) | Africa

Wednesday Morning Coffee
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Top Stories

>>Iraq - General Petreaus, testifying in front of the Senate Armed Services and Foreign Relations Committees yesterday, announced a pause in U.S. troop withdrawals from Iraq that would be, at minimum, 45 days, but could last indefinitely. He also testified that "we haven't turned any corners. We haven't seen any lights at the end of the tunnel." The three U.S. presidential candidates all questioned Petreaus. The lucky winner in November will now, because of the pause, be guaranteed of inheriting a 100,000-strong troop presence in Iraq.

>>Zimbabwe - Zimbabwe's supreme court ruled yesterday that it would urgently address the opposition's application for an immediate release of the presidential election results. Also yesterday, South African president Thabo Mbeki said he will meet with opposition leader Tsvangirai, who met with ANC leader Jacob Zuma on Monday. The situation in Zimbabwe continues to grow more dire as the opposition has reported violent attacks on its supporters, organized gangs continue to drive white farmers off their land, and election officials have been arrested for allegedly "undercounting Mugabe."

>>Korea - U.S. Envoy Christopher Hill announced that progress had been made in talks between the U.S. and North Korea regarding the latter's delayed declaration of its nuclear activities. However, he cautioned that there had net yet been a "breakthrough." Meanwhile, North Korea announced that their compensation from the U.S. for a satisfactory declaration had been agreed upon.

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Posted by Matthew Cordell at 9:55 AM | Comments (0) | Morning Coffee

 
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