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Top of the Morning: Chemical Weapons in Syria; New Mali Peacekeeping Mission

Top stories from DAWNS Digest

US Believes Chemical Weapons Used in Syria

The evidence that Assad has used chemical weapons against his own people has been mounting, along with pressure on the US to do something concrete about it. What remains to be seen is what the Obama administration will choose to do about it. “In an unclassified letter sent to senators, the White House says U.S. intelligence believes ‘with varying degrees of confidence that the Syrian regime has used chemical weapons on a small scale in Syria, specifically the chemical agent sarin.’ …The White House said the assessment is preliminary and is not enough to change the U.S. ‘decision-making’ on the issue because ‘credible and corroborated’ facts are needed to guide U.S. policy.” (Voice of America http://bit.ly/10fu1Z0)

Security Council Approves Mali Peacekeeping Mission

After months of negotiations, the UN Security Council approved the creation of a 12,600 Mali peacekeeping force beginning July 1. “France, aided by some 2,000 troops from Chad, began a military offensive in January to drive out Islamist fighters, who had hijacked a revolt by Mali’s Tuareg rebels and seized two-thirds of Mali. The U.N. peacekeeping force – to be known as MINUSMA – will assume authority from a U.N.-backed African force deployed there to take over from the French. Most of the African force, known as AFISMA, is likely to become part of the peacekeeping operation, diplomats say.” (Reuters http://yhoo.it/ZRkd7K)

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Syria Has Used Chemical Weapons. Now What?

Chuck Hagel confirmed what was suspected by Israeli, British and French intelligence: Chemical weapons were used in Syria. Some policy questions this raises

This, of course, will set off a great deal of punditry. After all, President Obama himself said that the use of Chemical weapons would be a “red line”for the the USA.

So if this red line has been crossed, what does it mean for the next phase of US policy?

Some, (e.g. John McCain et al) are already calling for either direct military involvement in Syria, like a No-Fly Zone or supplying the rebels with US arms. But those advocating these policies really need to grapple with some key questions about the implications of scaled up American involvement in Syria’s civil war.

For example, how can we be sure that the USA is arming the right rebels; and not the jihadis or groups that sometimes kidnap UN peacekeepers? Also, if the USA starts arming the rebels, doesn’t that suggest that Washington is entering into a proxy war with Russia, which is arming Assad? And if so, what does that augur for the chances of success of the rebels? And what does an indirect war with Russia mean for America’s other international priorities, like Iranian and North Korean proliferation?

Also, if the USA implements a no-fly zone it would almost certainly do so without the support of the Security Council as Russia would almost certainly veto such a measure. We saw what happened the last time the USA fought a war in the middle east without solid international backing. Is the Obama administration willing to undermine the United Nations in pursuit of launching a military intervention in Syria?

It seems to me that anyone who uses this opportunity to advocate for deeper American military involvement in Syria has to first start by addressing some of these questions.

PS: Here’s a good discussion this morning on HuffPo Live in which I participated.

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20 Million Reasons to Support Vaccines

Ed Note. As I noted yesterday, there’s  a major international summit on increasing access to childhood vaccines around the world underway in Abu Dhabi. Peter Yeo, executive director of the Better World Campaign, posted this item to Huffington Post about the occasion.

In the past two decades, immunization efforts have averted an estimated 20 million deaths globally. Yet, for all the progress that has been made–thanks largely to a sustained investment from the United States, the United Nations, other governments, and private partnerships–a great need remains. Last year, well over 20 million infants did not receive vaccinations that would protect them from devastating yet entirely preventable diseases like polio and measles.

We know the consequences: They are costly and needless — in lost productivity, increased health care costs, and loss of life. We also know the opportunities: They include 20 million more kids getting a boost on their physical, emotional, and cognitive development.

Now, with the Global Vaccine Summit kicking off in Abu Dhabi today, leaders from the U.S. and around the world have 20 million reasons to devote their political will toward mobilizing resources and seeing through one of the most successful and cost-effective public health investments on the planet.

This summit–a gathering intended to give all children a healthy start to life by providing them with life-saving vaccines–comes at a critical moment, as the world works toward the target 2015 deadline to fulfill the UN’s Millennium Development Goals, which include reducing childhood mortality.

We know that vaccines are a vital part of getting us there, and we’ve already made significant progress: Thanks to USAID and partner support, more than 100 million children now receive a basic set of immunizations every year, and tens of millions more receive supplemental vaccines against polio, measles, and other diseases. In addition, UNICEF currently supplies vaccines to 36 percent of the world’s children. With a steadfast commitment to continuing global immunization campaigns like these, the elimination of diseases like polio may become a reality in this current generation.

Indeed, the return on efforts from the U.S., UN, Rotary International, and other partners to expand polio vaccine access and coverage has already been measurable. While polio paralyzed more than 1,000 children each day in the 1980s, today the number of new polio cases has dropped more than 99 percent, leaving the world nearly polio-free. As the lead scientific agency for US government efforts toward global polio eradication, the CDC contributed significantly to that remarkable achievement of reducing the number of cases reported: from 350,000 in 1988, to just 223 in 2012.

In fact, worldwide, polio cases stand at their lowest levels, in the fewest districts, in the least number of countries at any point in history. We are so close to eradicating this disease, and we must maintain a global focus to achieve that goal. Eradicating polio means no child in generations to come will ever be paralyzed by this disease. It means that societies will not have to face the $40-50 billion price tag that could come with treating paralytic polio and lost productivity. Conversely, left untreated, global re-infection could result in as many as 200,000 children per year being paralyzed over time.

Given the exceptional risks of inaction, and the extraordinary rewards for maintaining the momentum on vaccination efforts, additional government, multilateral, private sector, and civil society support remains essential. Less than 1,000 days remain in the historic framework of the Millennium Development Goals, including the reduction of childhood mortality, but this fight must live on so that diseases like polio and measles do not undermine its progress.

By building this awareness, we can put pressure on governments, civil society, the private sector, and other key actors to make meaningful and concrete steps to help fulfill these goals through immunization. Twenty million children are counting on it.

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Top of the Morning: Bad News on Bird Flu; Good News on World Malaria Day

Top stories from DAWNS Digest

Bad News on Bird Flu

The virus has now infected someone in Taiwan, the first time that its off mainland China. “A new strain of bird flu that emerged in China over the past month is one of the “most lethal” flu viruses so far, worrying health officials because it can jump more easily from birds to humans than the one that started killing people a decade ago, World Health Organization officials said Wednesday. Scientists are watching the virus closely to see if it could spark a global pandemic but say there is little evidence so far that it can spread easily from human to human.” (Yahoo! http://yhoo.it/Zla2MY)

Good News on World Malaria Day

April 25 is world Malaria Day. Here is a potentially significant technology that can detect counterfeit malaria drugs and help reduce resistant strains from emerging. “The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has developed a hand-held device capable of identifying counterfeit or substandard malaria drugs and has signed a letter of intent with Corning Inc. to manufacture the product. The device, known as CD-3, is a battery-operated tool that uses different wavelengths of light to compare an authentic malaria drug with a potentially fake product, the FDA said on Wednesday.” (Christian Science Monitor http://bit.ly/10B1vIG)

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La Cumbre Sobre Vacunas Aspira a Salvar 20 Millones de Vidas para 2020

Para la versión en inglés, hacer clic aquí.

Puede decirse que el evento más importante que está teniendo lugar en  el mundo hoy, es un gran encuentro de legisladores, filántropos, agencias de las Naciones Unidas, corporaciones y ONGs, reunidos en Abu Dabi para celebrar una cumbre acerca de la ampliación del acceso de la infancia a las vacunas, en los países en vías de desarrollo.

La Fundación Gates es la fuerza conductora detrás de esta reunión, y Bill Gates tiene muy bien fijados sus objetivos hacia la erradicación total de la polio en los próximos cinco años.

 “Durante la cumbre, donantes, líderes globales y socios, demostrarán su apoyo a la Iniciativa de Erradicación Global de la Polio y el Plan Estratégico Final 2013 – 2018, primer plan abarcador que establece todos los elementos críticos necesarios para lograr la erradicación. Acabar con la polio es un hito primario en la hoja de ruta global para salvar más de 20 millones de vidas para 2020.”

“Gracias al enorme progreso en 2012, tenemos ahora una singular ventana de oportunidad para cambiar la historia y acabar con la polio,” dijo Bill Gates, copresidente de la Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. “Debemos invertir ahora, para asegurar que fuertes sistemas de inmunización protejan nuestros logros en contra de la polio y nos ayuden a llegar a madres e hijos con otras vacunas salvadoras de vidas, y con servicios de salud adicionales.”

Lo que hay que destacar de estos objetivos, es que son alcanzables de inmediato. Acabar con la polio para siempre, y salvar 20 millones de vidas de niños mediante programas de vacunación extendida, no requiere milagros médicos ni tecnologías avanzadas. Estamos tan cerca de la línea de meta en la polio – con sólo unos pocos cientos de nuevas infecciones el pasado año, confinados en sólo tres países endémicos. Desde un punto de vista técnico, tenemos todo lo que necesitamos para acabar con la polio, así como con enfermedades evitables mediante la vacunación de los niños. Las vacunas de rotavirus, meningitis, polio, neumocócica y otras vacunas infantiles están ya en el mercado, ensayadas y testadas como vacunas efectivas.

Lo que necesitamos ahora es el compromiso político y la financiación para llevar estas vacunas a cada niño, en cualquier lugar. Hacer esto puede salvar más de 20 millones de vidas y evitar cerca de mil millones de enfermedades hacia 2020. Esto no es barato, pero tampoco es exactamente algo que arrase el presupuesto. Estamos hablando de una inversión de cerca de $30 por niño, lo cual los estudios han demostrado que puede ahorrar $12 mil millones solo en costos de tratamiento, y $800 mil millones netos en productividad económica, que de otra forma se perderían a causa de enfermedad o muerte.

Así que: 20 millones de vidas infantiles salvadas para 2020, a un costo de alrededor de $30/niño, por una ganancia neta de $812 mil millones. No se necesita mucho cerebro. Esperemos que de esta cumbre resulten compromisos concretos de todos los inversores para que estas enfermedades, perfectamente evitables, sean relegadas al cajón del olvido de la  historia.

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Special Rapporteur on torture Juan E. Méndez. UN Photo/Jean-Marc Ferré

Bahrain Blocks UN Human Rights Investigator

So this happened:

An independent United Nations expert today urged the Government of Bahrain to honour its international commitments and allow him in to assess whether torture and ill-treatment are taking place in the country, after repeated postponements of planned visits.

“This is the second time that my visit has been postponed, at very short notice. It is effectively a cancellation as no alternative dates were proposed nor is there a future road map to discuss,” UN Special Rapporteur on torture, Juan E. Méndez stressed in a news release.

Mr. Méndez added that he is “deeply disappointed” with the decision to cancel the 8 to 15 May trip which was organized “in the spirit of cooperation” and expressed his compassion with the people of Bahrain who had expected the visit.

The Government’s decision comes after yet another week of continued clashes between demonstrators and security forces and the release of several reports criticizing what they call Bahrain’s failure to hold senior officials accountable for torture since 2011.

In a letter handed to the Special Rapporteur on 22 April, during a meeting in Washington DC, the Government said that the ongoing National Dialogue has unexpectedly taken much longer than envisaged and that a visit could be immensely damaging to the chances of the Dialogue’s success.

Meanwhile, in a statement issued to the media, the Government claimed that Mr. Méndez “put off” the visit.

In response, Mr. Méndez said that the decision to postpone the visit was solely that of the Government, “this was a unilateral decision by the authorities. Unfortunately, it is not the first time the Government has tried to avoid responsibility for the postponement of my visit, which was originally supposed to take place over a year ago.”

UN “Special Rapporteurs” can’t just helicopter into a country and conduct an investigation. Rather, they require some degree of cooperation from the host country to do their work.  This could be as simple as issuing a visa, or the cooperation can be more robust.

Regardless, it is a kind of peer pressure that ultimately gives these investigators access to countries. Most governments — even those with questionable human rights records —  want to at least appear to be pro-human rights and therefore are generally cooperative. Only truly rogue countries are completely obstinate–indeed, being obstinate can be a manifestation of a government’s rogueness.

Governments that simply don’t care about how other countries view them are the the ones to worry about. Robert Mugabe, for example, blocked Mendez’s predecessor from leaving the airport in Harare back in 2010. 

It seems that Bahrain is well on its way of becoming the Zimbabwe of the Gulf: increasingly brutal to dissenters at home, and increasingly unconcerned about its image abroad.

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