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U.S. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel, left, welcomes U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon, right, at the Pentagon, April 18, 2013. DOD photo by U.S. Marine Corps Sgt. Aaron Hostutle

Will the USA Enter a New Phase of Support for UN Peacekeeping?

It was sort of lost amid the events in Boston las week, but last Thursday Ban Ki Moon became the first sitting Secretary General to pay a visit to the Pentagon. This was a big deal for the United Nations, though not all together unexpected given Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel’s longstanding support for the United Nations.

The meeting was private, and also included UN Peacekeeping Chief Herve Ladsous. Here’s the official readout of the meeting from the Pentagon spokesperson’s office.

“Secretary Chuck Hagel hosted United Nation’s Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon at the Pentagon today.  The visit marks the first time that a United Nations secretary-general has visited the Pentagon.

“Secretary Hagel congratulated Secretary-General Ban on his outstanding leadership at the helm of the United Nations during one of the most turbulent and challenging times in international affairs.

Secretary Hagel and Secretary-General Ban discussed current and potential future United Nations peacekeeping missions of mutual concern, focusing on the distinctive challenges peacekeepers face in unstable environments.  The secretary-general expressed appreciation for the contributions the United States has made to peacekeeping.

The two leaders discussed the heightened tension on the Korean Peninsula and the need for North Korea to live up to its international obligations and commitments as well as the deteriorating security situation in Syria.

The secretary-general expressed his deepest sympathies and condolences to the American people for those killed and injured in the recent bombings in Boston.

Secretary Hagel thanked Secretary-General Ban for his friendship and stated the Department of Defense will strengthen its collaboration with the United Nations. “

A senior pentagon official tells me that possible UN peacekeeping roles in Syria and Mali were part of the discussion, but declined to elaborate further. The conversation, which included Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Martin Dempsey, involved a discussion of the value of UN peacekeeping to American interests. “The UN is a very relevant organization again,” said the senior Pentagon official. “The Pentagon feels that UN has a very important place in terms of peacekeeping and international affairs in general.” He added: “The fact that this meeting occurred  is a positive indicator of where things are headed.”

I may be getting a bit a head of myself,  but this meeting may mark a new phase of America’s relationship to UN Peacekeeping. As of March 31, there were 92,531 UN peacekeepers deployed to 16 missions around the world. Of these 92,000 peacekeepers only 118 are American. But even though the USA does not contribute many troops to UN Peacekeeping, it is the single largest financial contributor, paying for 28% of the cost.  That’s a generous contribution, but also a reflection of the USA’s relative wealth, and its role on the Security Council which approves every mission.

UN Peacekeeping is fairly consistently stretched to the near breaking point. The demands put on UN Peacekeeping by the Security Council are very high, but UN Peacekeeping has rather limited capacity. Peacekeeping depends on member states willingness to contribute troops and equipment–and sometimes member states decide not to. Helicopter assets in particular are in very short supply.

One way the USA could materially improve the chances of success in missions like South Sudan or DRC would be to simply contribute a few helicopters and pilots. The USA will never contribute troops to UN peacekeeping on the scale of a country like Bangladesh or Pakistan. But the USA (and Europe) have certain capacities that could very much enhance certain missions. Relatively small materiel contributions could go very long way.

Despite what happens, I think we can expect some shifts in the Pentagon’s relationship with UN Peacekeeping.  Hagel has shown himself to hold a fairly nuanced understanding of how UN peacekeeping advances American interests, so it is only natural that he would seek to deepen the Pentagon’s ties to the UN Department of Peacekeeping Operations.  He hinted as much in his confirmation hearing.

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Happy Earth Day, Or Not for Much of the USA

The Earth Day Network is asking people to contribute photos–The Faces of Climate Change — that depicts climate change, or people rising up to fight the trend.

I drove through Kansas last August as it was in the midst of one of its worst droughts in decades, prompting the governor to compare it to the dust bowl of the 1930s. It was a striking sight to see. Miles upon miles of farmland dry, brown and dusty.  This video captures some of the disturbing  images.

What images of climate change affected you this year?

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Top of the Morning: Worst Boko Haram Attack in Nigeria. Ever; Death Toll Rises in China Earthquake

Top stories from DAWNS Digest.

Nigeria: Worst Boko Haram Attack. Ever.

Nearly 200 people were killed in a major military-style confrontation between Boko Haram militants and Nigerian government soldiers. By all accounts, this was a pretty horrific battle. “The fighting in Baga began Friday and lasted for hours, sending people fleeing into the arid scrublands surrounding the community on Lake Chad. By Sunday, when government officials finally felt safe enough to see the destruction, homes, businesses and vehicles were burned throughout the area. The assault marks a significant escalation in the long-running insurgency Nigeria faces in its predominantly Muslim north, with Boko Haram extremists mounting a coordinated assault on soldiers using military-grade weaponry.” (AP http://bit.ly/13pBmcv)

Death Toll Rises in China Earthquake

A devastating earthquake struck in rural China on Saturday. “The death toll from the 7.0-magnitude earthquake had risen to 193, up from 157 on Saturday night, with more than 10,574 people injured, as of 10:30 a.m. (8 a.m. IST) on Sunday…The earthquake struck the city of Ya’an, home to 1.5 million residents, in Lushan county, located around 140 km from the provincial capital Chengdu. The impact of the earthquake was strong enough to rattle buildings in Chengdu and to be felt in as many as five surrounding provinces, with landslides reported in Yunnan province and at least one death reported in neighbouring Shaanxi.” (The Hindu http://bit.ly/XYCgOT)

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The Terrifying Spread of Resistant Tuberculosis

MUMBAI – Abylgazy Nagmadin is a slight 28-year-old who used to work at a train station in Kazakhstan, and he has never seen his son. He’s lived at a hospital in Almaty, Kazakhstan since he was diagnosed with multiple-drug resistant tuberculosis while his wife was still pregnant. He told the World Health Organization, “the only thing I want is to get back to my family,” but because he has a disease so dangerously contagious, he must stay in quarantine.

Victims of tuberculosis, like Nagmadin, develop a wracking, often bloody cough. Caused by a bacteria and spread through respiratory fluids, other symptoms include night sweats, fever, and the devastating weight loss that gives the disease its non-scientific name – “consumption.” It’s a slow, painful way to die. Only one in ten people infected develop symptoms, so the highly infectious disease is difficult to control. While it’s incredibly prevalent – over one-thirdof the world is thought to have been infected – it’s not a very democratic disease. In 2010, most of the 8.8 million new cases of tuberculosis occurred in developing countries, leading the World Health Organization (WHO), ever tactful, to classify it as a “disease of poverty.”

Because of the severe risk of epidemics, most countries have government-mandated programs designed to detect and treat the disease, which requires a long course of antibiotics to be fully cured. Because patients begin to feel better before the course is complete, many stop taking their treatment. According to the International Journal Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, that’s why every year there are now 424,000 new cases of multiple drug resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB), versions of the disease that have developed an immunity to the available treatment.

Frightening as that is, it’s an old problem, one that has been getting worse for the last ten years. What’s new is that in three different countries there’ve been rumored reports of total drug resistant tuberculosis (TDR-TB), a version of the disease that isn’t cured by anything in the medicinal arsenal.

Here’s where we veer from the field of science into the confusing intricacies of public health politics. Physicians in Italy in 2007, in Iran in 2009, and in India in 2012, have documented what some of those treating the patients call a “total” drug resistant strain. However, as with so many things in life, what you call something changes how much you fear it. And perhaps more importantly in this case, it’s a label that admits the current approach (itself the result of years of global negotiations and expensive program designs) isn’t working.

So a veritable avalanche of acronyms have been created,ranging from MDR – resistance to first-line drugs – to XDR – resistant to second-line drugs – to XXDR, before one finally arrives at TDR and the admission of defeat. This is not to make light of the importance of carefully defining the strains of the disease and what each version is resistant to. There’s a big difference between testing a drug in a lab and testing a drug on a patient in a hospital in Mumbai, even in the best-case scenarios. The susceptibility tests themselves have not been standardized, many of these cases occur in places that lack basic infrastructure and access to testing centers, and new drugs currently under development have yet to be fully explored.

But whatever you want to call it, this new strain of tuberculosis should be a cause for alarm. And it’s a problem that can’t be solved simply by adding new drugs to a failing regimen – only to have the new drugs also cease to be effective. In 2009, 193 countries signed a resolution calling for a new global approach to tuberculosis. But as of 2010, only 20 of the most affected countries on that list even had sufficient laboratories to test TB cultures.

The doctors in Mumbai who identified these highly resistant cases wrote to the Oxford Journal of Clinical Infectious Disease with a plea: India, like many other developing countries, has a largely unregulated health care system, where tuberculosis protocol isn’t always followed. Even after all the press this year of over the new strains, a study in Mumbai found that only 5 out of 106 private doctors prescribed correct medications for patients with MDR-TB. As resistance spreads beyond Mumbai – a hospital in Goa has reported additional cases this year – and possibly beyond India, it’s crucial that patients are receiving, and taking the full course, of proper treatment.

What matters is not the acronym, but that the current public health regimen isn’t working  the way it should – and it’s not clear that those in charge are seeing the forest for the trees.

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What the Boston Marathon-Chechnya Connection Might Mean

The two suspects law enforcement officials named last night in connection to the Boston marathon bombings might come from Chechnya. The police have confronted Tamerlan and Dzhokhar Tsarnaev; Tamerlan reportedly died in a shootout, while the police continue to pursue Dzhokhar. Is their connection to Chechnya relevant?

There’s a lot that we don’t know about these two suspects, and we probably won’t know for a while. Early reports suggest that the younger one, Dzhokhar, was either born in Kyrgyzstan or possibly moved there (or to Kazakhstan) at a young age. On his Vk page (the Russian-language equivalent of Facebook), Dzhokhar says he went to school in Makhachkala, the capital of neighboring Dagestan.

There are also reports suggesting one or both spent some of their childhoods in Turkey. Reports also suggest that they came to the United States at an early age – 9 and 16. It is important to note how little we know about these two men, and to avoid speculation. By way of background, the war in Chechnya might provide some clues as to why these two possibly decided to plant those bombs.

The first Chechen War, from 1994-1996 was a nationalist war of separation. Still, would be Islamist radicals tried to influence the outcome. Russian authorities arrested Ayman al-Zawahiri, Osama bin Laden’s second-in-command, when he tried to enter Chechnya in 1996.

The second Chechen War, from 1999-2000, was explicitly more Islamist because of foreign fighter infiltration, including from al Qaeda. Many reports of Islamist Chechen terrorists date back to this period. A few hundred Chechens traveled to Afghanistan to join forces with the Taliban. Russian President Vladimir Putin was integral to this second Chechen War: he used it to justify a “global war on Islamic terrorism” in 1999, and is considered responsible for the slaughter of hundreds of unarmed people at Katyr Yurt.

Chechen-linked groups cite these massive Russian human rights abuses in Chechnya as a justification for terrorism. But we have no way of knowing if the two suspects in Boston have anything to do with those yet. While we await for more information from the authorities it’s best to keep a cautious, skeptical, open mind.

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Top of the Morning: Chechnya Connection to the Boston Bombing; Widespread Attacks ahead of Iraqi Elections Baghdad

Top stories from DAWNS Digest.

Chechens With an Axe To Grind? 

Two brothers from Chechnya, one of whom was killed in a police shootout, have emerged as suspects. The two suspects were identified by law enforcement officials as brothers from Chechnya. The surviving suspect was identified as Dzhokhar A. Tsarnaev, 19, of Cambridge, Mass., a law enforcement official said. The one who was killed was identified as his brother, Tamerlan Tsarnaev, 26. The authorities were investigating whether the dead man had a homemade bomb strapped to his body when he was killed, two law enforcement officials said. The manhunt for the surviving bombing suspect sent the Boston region into the grip of a security emergency: residents of the city and the surrounding area were urged to stay indoors, as hundreds of police officers conducted a manhunt and all public transit services was suspended.” (>NYT http://nyti.ms/YzeDaH)

Yet Another Horrible Pre-Election Bombing in Baghdad

The first elections since the US withdrawal from Iraq will be held this weekend. Earlier this week, some 50 people were killed in a spate of attacks across Iraq. Yesterday, this: “A late-night bombing at a Baghdad cafe frequented by young men playing billiards and video games killed 27 people, just days before Iraq’s first elections since US troops withdrew. The attack was the single deadliest in the country in a month, and comes amid concerns over the credibility of Saturday’s provincial elections as Iraq grapples with a spike in violence and an ongoing political crisis.” (The Australian http://bit.ly/ZAWbPb)

 

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