article placeholder

Here who comes to save the day?

I love me a good Yvo de Boer profile as much as the next guy, and I applaud any effort to make the complexity of the UN climate negotiations bite-sized, but the first line of this AFP article is ridiculous, "Yvo de Boer, it could be argued, holds the fate of the planet in his hands."  Clearly I don't disagree with the implicit message that the success of the UN climate negotiations will greatly impact the fate of our planet but rather that, thankfully, any one man holds that fate in his hands, even the Secretary General. 

The sad fact for news peddlers is that these agreements will be built (and I believe they will) through the hard-fought efforts of hundreds, if not thousands, of individuals.  On top of that, any workable solution will be amazingly complex and incrementally build.  Case in point: check out this NY Times piece on the pre-negotiations currently being hashed out by China and the United States. Congressman Markey, cosponsor of a House energy bill that the article notes calls for 1/10th the reduction in GHGs that China is asking for, is quoted as saying, "This is going to be one of the most complex diplomatic negotiations in the history of the world." True.

article placeholder

And green technology groweth…

Good news for acolytes of renewable energy (like us):

Green energy overtook fossil fuels in attracting investment for power generation for the first time last year, according to figures released today by the United Nations.

Wind, solar and other clean technologies attracted $140bn (£85bn) compared with $110bn for gas and coal for electrical power generation, with more than a third of the green cash destined for Britain and the rest of Europe.

The biggest growth for renewable investment came from China, India and other developing countries, which are fast catching up on the West in switching out of fossil fuels to improve energy security and tackle climate change. [emphasis mine]

One problem is that the world still needs to spend $750 billion on renewable energy in the next two years. Another is that overall, investments around the world are, um, not doing so well in the current economic climate. But still, that green techology is already generating more investment than their dirty predecessors -- and that China and India, so often thrown around as the ones slowing the fight against global warming, are going green more rapidly -- is a development that few could have predicted 15, 10, even 5 years ago.

(image from flickr user thinkpanama under a Creative Commons license)

article placeholder

Why U.S. leadership on climate change is still a good idea

The day that climate change negotiations begin in Bonn, Germany, a few days after meetings of "major economy" (and major emitting) countries, and with a major climate bill in the United States working its way through Congress, Harvard economist Martin Feldstein argues that a U.S. cap-and-trade system as set out by this legislation just isn't worth it. This comes after the release of a report that found that 300,000 people a year die from climate change disasters and that $125 billion are lost from the economy. In the face of these numbers, Feldstein's alleged cap-and-trade "tax" of $1,600 per American family seems almost niggling. (economics credentials notwithstanding, though, Feldstein's numbers in piece are not entirely trustworthy; he glaringly errs in describing Congress' Waxman-Markey bill as mandating CO2 reductions to 83 percent of 2005 levels by 2020, when in fact it calls for reaching these levels only by 2050).

But even granting that American consumers will be affected by the cap-and-trade system -- calling it a "tax" seems a rather subversive way of describing the market dynamics that will naturally follow, on all sectors, from greening the economy -- Feldstein's opposition to U.S. efforts to curb climate change is both common and underwhelming. He argues that because global warming affects the entire globe, of which the United States makes up only a small part (but fully a quarter of CO2 production), U.S. emissions reductions are not worthwhile until other major emitters commit to similar steps.

This is a familiar argument, and it is appealing for obvious reasons. Why should the United States suffer the costs of enacting tough climate legislation if developing economies like China and India are going to pump CO2 into the air anyway? The key is the word "until;" if Feldstein had argued that the United States should not pursue strict regulations unless China and India do as well, he would have been in the right. Global warming is only going to be slowed by all countries taking action. But to wait until every country in the world commits to steep CO2 reductions is a fool's errand; the planet only gets warmer, and we can't sit around waiting for everyone to stand up in unison. The United States has a chance to lead this effort -- and leap ahead in green technology in the process -- that the Obama Administration, committed to improving U.S. relations with the world, would be foolhardy to pass up.

While admittedly frustrating in the face of looming deadlines and an ever-warming planet, the progress that countries are making toward a global agreement, is also encouraging. As one delegate in Bonn told Reuters, "the fact that [the meeting's draft text]'s been criticised from all sides probably means it's balanced overall." The strongest objections at Bonn thus far, in fact, seem to come from activists dressed up as snowmen and cactuses. I'd take China and India as negotiating partners any day.

(image from flickr user Step it Up 2007 under a Creative Commons license)

article placeholder

How 17% is kind of like 25%

We've been remiss in covering the so-called Major Economies Forum, the gathering of the world's top 17 greenhouse gas emitters that concluded in Paris yesterday.  And while some of the big economies may be calling for emissions reductions targets less stringent than, say, small island nations would prefer, the gap between the United States and Europe may be shrinking.  Even though Germany and France are urging 25-40% reductions by 2020, compared to the goal of 17% set out by the still ambitious (by U.S. standards) Waxman-Markey climate bill in the U.S. House, Obama climate envoy Todd Stern suggests these numbers are more similiar than they may appear (via Andy Revkin):

The United States is proposing to make a seismic change in U.S. policy,” he said. “The president is proposing to do that, and Congress as well is in the middle of working on this. The level of reductions we’re talking about, the level of effort we’re talking about from where we are, from a few years back before where we are, is about the same as what Europe is proposing to do.”

The key, of course, for the United States no less than the other 16 major emitters, is achieving what is possible politically.  But political will, Al Gore assures us, is as renewable a resource as he would have us implementing to power our homes.